关键词: 森林火灾, 致灾危险性, 承灾体, 暴露度, 脆弱性, 风险评估

Abstract:

The risk assessment index system of forest fire was constructed by comprehensively utilizing the hazard of forest fire,the exposure and vulnerability of disaster bodies.The hazard of disaster was based on the contents of combustibles,meteorological conditions,field fire sources,terrain and topography,the exposure of disaster bodies was based on the contents of above-ground living biomass,number of buildings,population,GDP,and the vulnerability of disaster bodies was based on the proportion of flammable forest land,proportion of combustible building area,proportion of the elderly and young population,vulnerability of economic activities.Using The Analytic Hierarchy Process and expert scoring,this paper determined the weights of each evaluation indicator.It refined the accuracy of forest fire risk assessment to multiple spatial scales such as small class,30 arc second geographic grid,township level,county level,etc.to meet the accuracy requirements of forest fire prevention management at different administrative levels of the country,province,city,and county.At the same time,this paper proposed the best solution for forest fire risk identification in different regions and periods.

Key words: forest fire, hazard, disaster bodies, exposure, vulnerability, risk assessment