Abstract: This paper constructs a carbon transaction price conversion coefficient model based on market responses through theoretical research and empirical analysis of the response status of Zhejiang carbon market development,calculates the conversion rate of Zhejiang traditional forestry management into forestry carbon sequestation management at different carbon prices and then carries out a simulation of the development trend of Zhejiang forestry management based on carbon market responses.The results show that carbon price of Zhejiang carbon market will rise from the current 110 yuan to 1100 yuan in future 20 years.With the continuous rise in carbon price,rational forestry management subject will continue to realize the conversion from traditional forestry management to forestry carbon sequestration management.When carbon price reaches 1100 yuan level,the conversion rate will achieve 0.875.This paper further discuses and explains the relevant factors restricting the development of Zhejiang carbon market.

Key words: carbon market response, forestry carbon sequestration management, development trend, simulation