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Integrated Management and Administration

Evaluation of the Implementation Effectiveness of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020

  • Haoyu DENG ,
  • Yulan SONG ,
  • Tong CHEN ,
  • Rui WANG
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  • 1. College of Economics and Management,Xinjiang Agricultural University,Urumqi 830052,China
    2. Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Urumqi 830052,China
    3. School of International Economics and Trad,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,Anhui,China

Received date: 2024-04-24

  Revised date: 2024-06-11

  Online published: 2024-12-24

Abstract

The implementation of the Three-North(i.e.,Northeast China,North China and Northwest China)Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020 has yielded significant results,and the dynamic evaluation of the implementation effect of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program at this stage facilitates precise measurement of future objectives and tasks focus.By applying dynamic weighting and normal cloud models,we constructed a multi-level indicator system to comprehensively evaluate the implementation effect of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020,and selected the grey system prediction model to accurately predict the first-level effect response index from 2024 to 2028.The results show that:1)The response indexes for project objectives,benefits,and sustainability show a steady upward trend,of which the largest increase is the index of project benefits,and the smallest increase is the index of project objectives.2)The overall evaluation of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020 is positive,which indicates that the project's comprehensive benefits are significant in this period.3)The comprehensive evaluation and prediction results for the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2024 to 2028 show a consistent upward trend in both project goal and sustainability indices.Focusing the evaluation on project objectives,benefits,and sustainability,the index system for evaluating the implementation effect of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020 has been enhanced and refined.

Cite this article

Haoyu DENG , Yulan SONG , Tong CHEN , Rui WANG . Evaluation of the Implementation Effectiveness of the Three-North Shelterbelt Forest Program from 2001 to 2020[J]. Forest and Grassland Resources Research, 2024 , 0(3) : 9 -17 . DOI: 10.13466/j.cnki.lczyyj.2024.03.002

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