Firstly,on the basis of consulting some international sustainable forest management processes and using a two-round Delphi survey of twelve theories and practice of forestry economic experts,22 factors of influence were chosen from forest quantity,quality and ecosystem.Secondly,by field investigation,data of Amur Forestry Bureau from 1999-2010 were used and overall assessment was conducted using BP model.The result revealed that Amur Forestry Bureau forest resources security’s score was 0.876 5,it indicated its forest resources were secure.But they are at a low-effect level of security.At last the paper puts forward some countermeasures for strengthening forest security and realizing the efficient security of forest resources.
WANG Yufang
,
BAI Hesong
,
WANG Rui
. Evaluation on Forest Resources Security Based on BP Model—With Amur Forestry Bureau inDaxing′anling Mountains Forestry Region as a Case Study[J]. Forest and Grassland Resources Research, 2014
, 0(6)
: 44
-48
.
DOI: 10.13466/j.cnki.lyzygl.2014.06.011
[1] 周少华.中国森林资源安全现状及发展态势[J].湖南城市学院学报,29(6):27-30.
[2] 周少华,周海燕.中国国土资源安全报告 预警与风险化解[M].北京:红旗出版社,2009.
[3] 王礼茂,郎一环.中国资源安全研究的进展问题[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(04):333-339.
[4] 姚予龙,谷树忠.资源安全机理及其经济学解释[J].资源科学,2002(5):46-51.
[5] 阿木尔林业局局志编审委员会.阿木尔林业局局志[M].哈尔滨:黑龙江人民出版社,2010.
[6] 郭凤芝.试论森林安全的评价指标和评价方法[J].统计与咨询,2004(4):26-27.
[7] 马秀芳,林媚珍,乔美华.广东省森林资源评价与发展对策[J].太原师范学院学报:自然科学版,2007(6):123-127.
[8] 赵串串,杨晓阳,张凤臣,等.青海省湟水河流域森林资源评价[J].林业调查规划,2008(33):48-50.
[9] 阎平凡,张长水.人工神经网络与模拟进化计算[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2000:1-37.
