应用灰色关联分析模型对2005—2012年湖南省湘西州的林业系统的产值结构进行了研究。结果表明,2005—2012年湘西州林业三次产业各产值与其林业总产值的灰色关联度排序为第一产业 < 第三产业 < 第二产业。解释了产生此排序的的原因,同时,结合定性分析方法,分析了湘西州林业产业的现状,指出了湘西州林业产业结构调整存在的问题,并有针对性地提出相应的调整建议,这对于巩固集体林权改革成果,协调湘西州林业生态保护与林业产业发展的关系,以及进一步深化改革有一定的借鉴作用。

The collective forest tenure reform was basically completed in the City of Xiangxi,but there is lack of field-based data analysis of structural changes in the forestry industry.It is essential to do some research on the adjustment of the forestry industrial structure.And the output value is an important index that could reflect the situation of the industry.For studying the structure of forestry industry of the Xiangxi City,this paper analysed the 2005-2012 output value of the three industries and total industry with the grey correlation analysis model.The result showed that grey correlations between the three forestry industries and the total forestry output value were in the order as primary industry < tertiary industry < secondary industry,which could be explained by the actual situation and progress made since the Xiangxi collective forest tenure reform was accomplished.Some questions related to the structure of forestry and reform were found and a series of advices are made in this paper.