推动林业现代化发展对共同富裕实现具有重要意义。基于2014—2023年中国31个省份的面板数据,利用双向固定效应模型和空间杜宾模型实证分析林业现代化赋能共同富裕的影响机制及空间溢出效应。结果表明:1)推进林业现代化可显著提升共同富裕水平,且二者之间存在不同发展维度的差异性; 2)林业现代化的共同富裕效应存在不同地理区位、森林资源依赖和贫困人口规模等维度的异质性; 3)林业现代化可通过促使产业结构优化、人力资本升级和生态环境维护这3条路径实现共同富裕,3者的中介作用依次递减; 4)林业现代化对共同富裕存在正向空间溢出效应,该效应会随地理距离增加呈“倒U形”变化。应加快技术亲民化和产权数字化,奠定市场扩容坚实基础;实施地区差异化发展战略,精准匹配林业共富新动能;提升区域协同发展水平,最大化释放空间溢出效应红利。

Promoting the forestry modernization is of great significance for realization of prosperity.Drawingon the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2014 to 2023,this study empirically analyzes the mechanisms through which forestry modernization contributes common prosperity and spatial spill by using the two-way fixed-effect model and the spatial Durbin model. The results showed that:1)Advancing forestry modernization can significantly improve the level of common prosperity,with noticeable differences across development dimensions. 2)There are heterogeneities in the common prosperity effect of forestry modernization in different geographical locations,forest resource dependence,and the scale of the poor population. 3)Forestry modernization can achieve common prosperity through three paths:namely industrial structure optimization,human capital upgrading,and ecological environment conservation,with the mediating effects declining sequentially. 4)Forestry modernization has a positive spatial spillover effect on common prosperity,and this effect shows an inverted U-shaped pattern with the increase of geographical distance. Accordingly,efforts should be made to accelerate the accessibility of technology and the digitalization of property rights so as to lay a solid foundation for market expansion;implement region-specific development strategies to accurately align new drivers of forestry-related common prosperity;and enhance the level of regional coordinated development to maximize the dividends generated by spatial spillover effects.