基于Meta分析的庆阳子午岭森林生态系统服务价值评估
收稿日期: 2023-07-30
修回日期: 2023-10-10
网络出版日期: 2023-12-20
基金资助
甘肃农业大学青年导师基金项目“甘南黄河水源补给区畜牧碳足迹、脱钩效应与影响因素”(GAU-QDFC-2022-20)
Evaluation of Forest Ecosystem Service Value in Ziwuling, Qingyang Based on Meta-Analysis
Received date: 2023-07-30
Revised date: 2023-10-10
Online published: 2023-12-20
为对庆阳子午岭森林生态系统服务价值进行评估,首先,通过效益转移法中的Meta分析法,建立Meta回归分析数据库;其次,构建回归模型进行效益转移评价,并检验模型的有效性。结果表明:1)庆阳子午岭森林生态系统服务价值的参考值为122.07亿元(2015年时的参考值),其中涵养水源、林木养分固持、保护生物多样性等服务功能对森林价值评估有显著影响;2)研究地所属区划、评估方法、生态系统服务类型等都是影响庆阳子午岭森林生态系统服务价值的因素,评估时要充分考量;3)使用误差检验法,其结果表明Meta回归模型得到的预测值和实际真实值之间一致性较高,可见,使用该模型评估森林生态系统服务价值有效。
高珊珊 , 谌玉洁 , 海新权 . 基于Meta分析的庆阳子午岭森林生态系统服务价值评估[J]. 林草资源研究, 2023 , 0(5) : 80 -88 . DOI: 10.13466/j.cnki.lczyyj.2023.05.010
As the largest part of the natural resource system on land,forest value assessment is very important for human development.Based on the Meta analysis method of benefit transfer,this paper established a Meta regression analysis database,constructed a regression model for benefit transfer evaluation,tested the effectiveness of the model and evaluated the forest ecosystem service value of Ziwuling in Qingyang.The results showed as follows:1)The reference value of forest ecosystem service value in Ziwuling was 12.207 billion yuan,in which forest nutrient retention,water conservation,biodiversity protection and other service functions had a significant impact on forest value assessment;2)Regionalization,assessment methods and ecosystem service types of the research area are all factors affecting the value of forest ecosystem services in Ziwuling,Qingyang,and should be fully considered in the assessment;3)The error test method was used in this paper,and the results showed that the predicted value obtained by the Meta regression model had a high consistency with the actual value,and the model was effective in assessing the value of forest ecosystem services.
Key words： Ziwuling forest; ecosystem service value; Meta-analysis; value assessment
| [1] | 王兵, 牛香, 宋庆丰. 中国森林生态系统服务评估及其价值化实现路径设计[J]. 环境保护, 2020, 48(14):28-36. |
| [2] | LY/T 1721-2008,森林生态系统服务功能评估规范[S]. |
| [3] | GB/T 38582-2020,森林生态系统服务功能评估规范[S]. |
| [4] | Costanza R,Arge, Groot R D, et al. The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital[J]. Nature, 1997, 387(15):253-260. |
| [5] | 欧阳志云. 生态系统服务功能价值评价[J]. 科学新闻, 1999(15):4-5. |
| [6] | 杨鑫, 海新权, 杨玉婷. 基于Meta分析的张掖黑河湿地生态系统服务价值评估[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2023, 39(1):60-68. |
| [7] | 赵玲, 王尔大. 基于Meta分析的自然资源效益转移方法的实证研究[J]. 资源科学, 2011, 33(1):31-40. |
| [8] | Johnston R J, Rosenberger R S. Methods,trends and controversies in contemporary benefit transfer[J]. Journal of Economic Surveys, 2010, 24(3):479-510. |
| [9] | Smith V K, Kaoru Y. Signals or noise-explaining the variation in recreation benefit estimate[J]. American of Agriculture Economies, 1990. 72(2):419-433. |
| [10] | Houtven G V, Powers J, Pattanayak S K. Valuing water quality improve-ments in the United States using meta-analysis:Is the glass half-full or half-empty for national policy analysis[J]. Energy Economics, 2007, 29(3):206-228. |
| [11] | Jr J C. Waintaining the habitable condition of the planet:Balancing technological and ecosystem services[J]. Quality Assurance, 1998(1):6. |
| [12] | Lindhjem H. 20 years of stated preference valuation of non-timber benefits from Fennoscandian forests:A meta-analysis[J]. Journal of Forest Economics, 2007, 12:251-277. |
| [13] | 赵敏华, 李国平. 效益转移法评估石油开发中跨区域环境价值损失的实证研究[J]. 系统工程, 2006(10):77-81. |
| [14] | 赵敏华, 李国平, 刘志国. 效益转移在陕北煤炭开发环境损失 评估中的应用[J]. 生态经济:学术版, 2006(2):57-60. |
| [15] | 赵敏华, 李国平. 效益转移法评估石油开发中环境价值损失的实证研究[J]. 工业技术经济, 2006(11):96-99. |
| [16] | 赵敏华, 赵光华, 李国平. 基于CVM法和效益转移法评估炼油厂排污所造成的环境价值损失[J]. 生态经济, 2009(2):134-138. |
| [17] | 卢慧, 陈克龙, 曹生奎, 等. 青海湖流域生态系统服务功能与价值评估[J]. 生态经济, 2011, 27(11):145-147. |
| [18] | 杨玲, 孔范龙, 郗敏, 等. 基于 Meta 分析的青岛市湿地生态系统服务价值评估[J]. 生态学杂志, 2017, 36(4):1038-1046. |
| [19] | 于彤. 基于 Meta 分析法的甘肃省甘南州草地生态系统服务价值评价及其生态补偿标准研究[D]. 北京: 北京林业大学, 2020. |
| [20] | 漆信贤, 黄贤金, 赖力. 基于Meta分析的中国森林生态系统生态服务功能价值转移研究[J]. 地理科学, 2018, 38(4):522-530. |
| [21] | 邬紫荆, 曾辉. 基于meta分析的中国森林生态系统服务价值评估[J]. 生态学报, 2021, 41(14):5533-5545. |
| [22] | 杜晨亮. 基于Meta分析的京津冀森林水源涵养能力评估及其空间分异特征探究[D]. 石家庄: 河北师范大学, 2020. |
| [23] | 韦良莺. 基于Meta分析效益转移的合肥滨湖国家森林公园游憩价值评估[D]. 合肥: 合肥工业大学, 2020. |
| [24] | 赵正, 韩锋, 侯一蕾. 基于Meta回归方法的中国城市森林生态系统服务功能价值再评估[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2021, 30(1):64-75. |
| [25] | 赵亚宁, 许靖, 马海峰, 等. 浅析甘肃子午岭林区的发展思路[J]. 内蒙古林业调查设计, 2021, 44(1):91-93. |
| [26] | 张玲, 李小娟, 周德民, 等. 基于Meta分析的中国湖沼湿地生态系统服务价值转移研究[J]. 生态学报, 2015, 35(16):5507-5517. |
| [27] | Brander L M, Florax R J G M, Vermaat J E. The empirics of wetland valuation:A comprehensive summary and a Meta-analysis of the literature[J]. Environmental and Resource Economics, 2006, 33(2):223-250. |
| [28] | Ghermandi A, Jeroen C J M van den Bergh, Brander L M, et al. Values of natural and human-made wetlands:A meta-analysis[J]. Water Resources Research, 2010, 46(12):1-12. |
| [29] | Brander L M, Wagtendonk A J, Hussain S S, et al. Ecosystem service values for mangroves in Southeast Asia:A meta-analysis and value transfer application[J]. Ecosystem Services, 2012, 1(1):62-69. |
| [30] | 石瑾, 张培栋. 甘肃子午岭森林生态系统服务功能及其价值评估[J]. 林业经济, 2007(10):69-71. |
| [31] | 庆阳市统计局, 庆阳年鉴(2015)[G]. 北京: 中国统计出版社, 2016. |
| [32] | 庆阳市统计局. 2015年庆阳市国民经济和社会发展统计公报[EB/OL].(2016-03-16) [2023-02-20]. https://www.zgqingyang.gov.cn. |
| [33] | Ready R, Navrud S. International benefit transfer:Methods and validity tests[J]. Ecological Economics, 2007, 60(2):429-434. |
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
