促进碳市场、经济增长和环境保护的协调发展是实现“碳中和2060”目标的根本保障。基于我国7个碳交易试点地区2014—2019年的相关数据,首先构建地区碳市场、经济增长和环境保护的协调发展度指标体系,测度协调发展水平,最后借鉴Tobit模型分析地区规模以上工业企业数量、固定资产投入、外商直接投资及科技投入对碳市场-经济增长-环境保护协调发展度的影响。研究发现:各碳交易试点地区碳市场、经济增长和环境保护的协调发展度整体呈现上升趋势,且北京和广东为良好协调,天津、上海、深圳和湖北为中级协调,重庆为初级协调;规模以上工业企业数量、固定资产投入、外商直接投资及科技投入对各碳交易试点地区协调发展度影响的正负效应和程度存在显著差异。本研究可为全国碳市场的统一建设、地区经济绿色发展以及碳中和目标的实现提供决策参考。

The coordinated development of carbon market,economic growth,and environmental protection is the fundamental safeguard to reach the goal of “carbon neutral 2060”.Based on the relevant data of China's seven carbon trading pilot areas from 2014 to 2019,this paper first developed the coordinated development degree index system of regional carbon market,economic growth and environmental protection,measured the coordinated development level,and finally,it used Tobit model to analyze the influences of industry firm number above regional scale,fixed asset investment,foreign direct investment and R&D investment on the coordinated development level.The results showed that:the coordinated development degrees of carbon market,economic growth and environmental protection in the pilot areas of carbon trading were on the rise,and Beijing and Guangdong were in good coordination,Tianjin,Shanghai,Shenzhen and Hubei were in intermediate coordination,and Chongqing was in primary coordination;There were significant differences in the positive and negative effects and levels of the industry firm number above regional scale,fixed asset investment,foreign direct investment and R&D investment on the coordinated development of carbon trading pilot areas.This paper provided decision reference for the unifying construction of national carbon markets,regional green economy development and the realization of carbon neutral goal.