随着中国经济和社会的快速发展,木材需求迅速增长。在国内木材供给有限的条件下,木材进口依存度不断提高,木材进口风险不断上升。在HHI和S-W指数的基础上,构建了木材进口风险指数。该指数涉及到中国木材进口来源国的风险状况、来源国的差异程度和资源可持续风险。对木材进口风险指数进行分析评价,结果表明,尽管2006年后中国木材来源国的集中度不断降低,但木材进口的总体风险却不断增加。以此结果为依据,就降低我国木材进口风险提出了相应的建议。
with rapid development of Chinese economy and society,timber demand grows fast.Due to the limitation of domestic supply,foreign reliance extent of timber import gradually rises and timber import risk gradually goes up correspondingly.Based on the indexes of HHI and S-W,this paper formulates the indexes of timber import risk.The indexes includes risk status,difference extent and resource sustainability of China’s timber import source countries.The analysis result shows that China’s total risk of timber import gradually has been rising since 2006 although concentration extent of China’s timber source countries declined at the same period.
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