Abstract:

Promoting the forestry modernization is of great significance for realization of prosperity.Drawingon the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2014 to 2023,this study empirically analyzes the mechanisms through which forestry modernization contributes common prosperity and spatial spill by using the two-way fixed-effect model and the spatial Durbin model. The results showed that:1)Advancing forestry modernization can significantly improve the level of common prosperity,with noticeable differences across development dimensions. 2)There are heterogeneities in the common prosperity effect of forestry modernization in different geographical locations,forest resource dependence,and the scale of the poor population. 3)Forestry modernization can achieve common prosperity through three paths:namely industrial structure optimization,human capital upgrading,and ecological environment conservation,with the mediating effects declining sequentially. 4)Forestry modernization has a positive spatial spillover effect on common prosperity,and this effect shows an inverted U-shaped pattern with the increase of geographical distance. Accordingly,efforts should be made to accelerate the accessibility of technology and the digitalization of property rights so as to lay a solid foundation for market expansion;implement region-specific development strategies to accurately align new drivers of forestry-related common prosperity;and enhance the level of regional coordinated development to maximize the dividends generated by spatial spillover effects.

Key words: forestry modernization, common prosperity, spatial spillover effect